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 Forum index » Archive » Archive: General » Old News & Rumors
DARPA Balloon Challenge Team?
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Euchre
uF Game Warden


Joined: 29 Aug 2007
Posts: 3342

As things are stated now, no clues - just those conditions already stated.
Someone from DARPA goes out on the given date and time, launches the balloon, attends to the location for the day, then removes the balloon. They are described as being 'readily accessible' and visible from 'nearby roads', which implies that they are in public locations proximal to public right of way. Basically somebody ought to see them. The real challenge as I see it (more especially if this does not become well publicized) is that whomever observes them in the 6 hrs they are up has means to measure their location with suitable accuracy and thus report it to a group. I seriously doubt any one person could reasonably scour the US in 11 hrs total for all possible locations.
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PostPosted: Tue Nov 03, 2009 10:47 am
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Rogi Ocnorb
I Have 100 Cats and Smell of Wee


Joined: 01 Sep 2005
Posts: 4266
Location: Where the cheese is free.

I'm seeing some buzz that some teams are actually considering a coordinated 6-hour drive on the target date.
Just thought I'd toss some numbers out there about that sort of thinking.
Code:
Miles:    2,500,000 (Paved centerline)
Drivers:      7,000 (Travelling @ 60mph for 6 hours)
Gasoline:   125,000 gallons(@20 MPG)
Cost:      $344,000 dollars (@$2.75/gal.)


Those are "per team" numbers with almost no territory overlay and drivers who don't need to drive TO their designated stretch.

I hope people see the folly in that approach.

I still feel like it's the SEO geeks that'll win this, but from a crowdsourcing perspective, I could see setting up a site to catalog route adoptions by participants who agree to be on the lookout during their commutes (though the hours of operation seem designed to discount even that).

The griefers are really coming out in force as well.
I'm surprised nobody's brought up stuff like bogus balloon-based anthrax attack scares to raise awareness.
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PostPosted: Tue Nov 03, 2009 4:44 pm
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ouroboros
Decorated


Joined: 20 Aug 2004
Posts: 170
Location: El Jardín de senderos que se bifurcan


statement of interest

I'm very interested.
But the question in my mind is: is this a data sifting or data gathering exercise?

from http://networkchallenge.darpa.mil/Rules.pdf
Quote:
The challenge is to locate ten red weather balloons moored at fixed locations in the continental United States. Balloons will be in readily accessible locations, visible from nearby roadways and accompanied by DARPA representatives. All balloons are scheduled to go on display at all locations at 10:00AM (ET) until approximately 4:00 PM (local time) on Saturday, December 5, 2009.

Entrants are required to register and submit entries on the event website. Latitudes and longitudes are entered in degree-minute-second (DDD-MM-SS) format as explained on the website Coordinates must be entered with an error of less than one arc-minute to be accepted.

A single $40,000 cash prize will be awarded to the first participant to submit the correct latitude and longitude of all ten weather balloons within the contest period. DARPA will issue one check only, and only to the one individual registered on the event website.


Note that one arc-minute is a nautical mile, about 2000yds or ~1.15mi or 1.852km.

PostPosted: Thu Nov 05, 2009 5:59 pm
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Euchre
uF Game Warden


Joined: 29 Aug 2007
Posts: 3342

The relatively vast margin of error would allow for two methods, I think:

1. Manual orienteering. In theory this should be possible with a greater accuracy than that, but when one is in a hurry it may not be.

2. Satellite imagery. If one can find a rapidly updated satellite image source online, it might not have very accurate coordinates applied to it. I doubt this would be the only method possible, but I think one of the points of this exercise is to see how many forms of information gathering one can use to achieve the goal.
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Any sufficiently twisted reality is indistinguishable from fiction.
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PostPosted: Sat Nov 07, 2009 3:41 pm
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catherwood
I Have 100 Cats and Smell of Wee

Joined: 25 Sep 2002
Posts: 4109
Location: Silicon Valley, CA

could the ~1 mile margin of error be due to the drift radius of the anchored balloon? How high to you suppose they might float these things?

PostPosted: Sun Nov 08, 2009 3:23 am
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Euchre
uF Game Warden


Joined: 29 Aug 2007
Posts: 3342

Not a mathematical genius here by any means, but using a simply Pythagorean triple of 3, 4, 5 as my basis for drift, with the side measuring 3 being the 1 mile leg of lateral drift along the ground, the length of the tether needed would be ~1.67 miles long. Now imagine the size of balloon needed to keep that aloft. That'd be a pretty massive balloon. That's also with the tether at a 53.13 degree angle - not unreasonable of an expectation for a simple wind drift. That would also put the balloon 1 1/3 miles straight up, which would make it hard to see if it wasn't huge.

Finally there's FAA regulations which pretty much preclude it being flown over 500 feet.

The rules have also been updated, it would seem to deal with the question of anyone other than an individual trying to submit an entry. Excluded now are "corporations or other organizations".
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Any sufficiently twisted reality is indistinguishable from fiction.
Welcome to the new world of entertainment.
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PostPosted: Sun Nov 08, 2009 2:55 pm
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catherwood
I Have 100 Cats and Smell of Wee

Joined: 25 Sep 2002
Posts: 4109
Location: Silicon Valley, CA

Euchre wrote:
The rules have also been updated, it would seem to deal with the question of anyone other than an individual trying to submit an entry. Excluded now are "corporations or other organizations".

I remember reading that in the rules when I first heard about this challenge -- I was all set to get my company involved as a public relations move, but was caught short by that disqualification.

I guess I haven't been in the vicinity of a weather balloon. I'm having a hard time picturing what it might look like from the ground or "nearby roads". I once worked in a building that had a promotional blimp flying overhead. Is this DARPA thing really going to look different enough to attract attention, or might it be ignored as another car mall opening?

PostPosted: Sun Nov 08, 2009 5:39 pm
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xnbomb
Unfettered


Joined: 13 Oct 2003
Posts: 660
Location: J302B S8JDC

catherwood wrote:
could the ~1 mile margin of error be due to the drift radius of the anchored balloon? How high to you suppose they might float these things?

My guess is that the 1 arc-minute specification is there because they have to provide some non-ambiguous criterion by which they can judge if any given position entered (they have asked for them in degrees-minutes-seconds, as ddd-mm-ss) is close enough to be considered correct.

I did not get the impression that the balloons would be at a substantial altitude. These are going to be spherical red weather balloons with an 8-foot diameter (here's what they will look like). The idea is that they could easily be seen from the roadside if you were driving by them. By choosing this fairly low requirement of locational precision, they are not testing peoples' ability to come up with a hyper-accurate geolocation, which would seem to be a separate issue from the point of the exercise.
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PostPosted: Mon Nov 16, 2009 8:58 pm
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mit
Guest


Join the MIT team, invite your friends and you can win money, help
science, and help charity!

Find all the information about our approach at
http://balloon.media.mit.edu/

THANK YOU AND... GOOD LUCK!

The MIT Red Balloon Challenge Team

PostPosted: Thu Dec 03, 2009 11:22 pm
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notgordian
Unfictologist


Joined: 23 Nov 2006
Posts: 1383
Location: Philly

MIT won. Congrats, all who participated!

PostPosted: Sun Dec 06, 2009 3:56 am
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krystyn
I Never Tire of My Own Voice


Joined: 26 Sep 2002
Posts: 3651
Location: Is not Chicago

Woot, congrats!
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PostPosted: Sun Dec 06, 2009 7:19 pm
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Nighthawk
I Have 100 Cats and Smell of Wee


Joined: 14 Jul 2007
Posts: 4751
Location: Miami, Florida, USA, Earth

I actually saw the balloon in Miami Beach, but at the time didn't have any means of contacting anyone about it or getting its position.
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PostPosted: Mon Dec 07, 2009 10:36 am
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