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 Forum index » Archive » Archive: Last Call Poker » LCP: Meta/Questions, Social Fun, & Poker Help
Playing Better Hold'Em
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Cortana
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Joined: 25 Sep 2002
Posts: 200
Location: Arlington, VA

Playing Better Hold'Em

A lot of playing poker, quite seriously, is knowing just how utterly screwed your hand is. There are a couple of different ways to look at this, and I want to devote a series of posts to making you all better card players. Not just so you can take my chips on LCP (you're doing a grand job of that already), but so you can also take your friends' real money, too.

Before the Flop:

Looking at your cards, each and every hand (yes, even 2 7 offsuit) can get better. You just have to decide what you're going to do about it. Position means something, and so does your stack. We're going to go on eight position tables, since that's what Lucky has provided for us. If you're first to act, you get no information before you have to decide what to do. You just have your cards. If you're the dealer, or one of the blinds, you're last to act and that gives you all the time in the world to make your decision, and better, to watch others play their hands.

There are 52 cards in a deck. On an eight person table, before the flop, 16 cards are dealt. That leaves 36 cards in the deck. If you have an unmatched hand, like the hammer, the odds of your hands getting better depend entirely on what that flop is. Every card has three others in the deck just like it. There are, at that point, six cards that make your hand better. 6/36 makes the odds 1:6 that your hand gets better. That means, if you're last to act, holding the hammer, and all seven before you have bet, then you are betting 1:8 that your hand will get better. You would be money ahead to pitch in your blind (or check as the big blind) and see what happens. If you find yourself paired with good position, you might well have parlayed a bad hand into a good one.

It's all about knowing what's in the deck to save you, and how much is in the pot, and better still how much you've already put there. Knowing the percentages, knowing the odds, that's half the battle.

Holding 78h, with 5h 6h and 7d on the board gives you a pair, but also a flush draw, a straight draw and a straight flush draw. What are the odds of completing your set? the flush? the straight? the straight flush?

For the set, you need one of 2 remaining sevens. after the flop there are 32 cards left in the deck, so your odds are 1:16.

For the flush, there are 9 remaining hearts. With 32 cards left, 9:32 is roughly 3:11.

For the straight, there are 8 cards that can help you. 8:32 is 1:4. Not bad at all.

For the straight flush, you're looking again for just two cards. 1:16.

But, all is not lost. Given the cards on the board, you're sitting tight with top pair (sevens) and with the other draws. There are a lot of ways to look at your cards, and this is just the beginning.

Interested? Should I keep it up? Let me know.

PostPosted: Thu Oct 06, 2005 1:03 am
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KermieD
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Joined: 16 Mar 2003
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No offense intended, but your math is off, as it assumes that the cards you need are not sitting in other players' hands, which is an assumption that cannot be made. In actuality, after the flop, your odds are based not on a 32 card remaining deck, but instead on a 47 card remaining deck.
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PostPosted: Thu Oct 06, 2005 1:34 am
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Cortana
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Joined: 25 Sep 2002
Posts: 200
Location: Arlington, VA

KermieD wrote:
No offense intended, but your math is off, as it assumes that the cards you need are not sitting in other players' hands, which is an assumption that cannot be made. In actuality, after the flop, your odds are based not on a 32 card remaining deck, but instead on a 47 card remaining deck.


And this, boys and girls, is what happens when you're trying to watch baseball, write email and compose good poker rules all at once, well after midnight.

Revising and reposting.

PostPosted: Thu Oct 06, 2005 8:40 am
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dorkmaster not logged in
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This is a good thread, though. I think some basic poker instruction would not be a bad idea. I think another good strategy in terms of playing, however (and you really need to be open to looking at both at the same time, to be really good, but...)

I think slightly more important than "how can I improve my cards here?" is "what can beat me?" By playing those odds, you don't have to typically calculate as much, but still have a good idea, of what's against you.

For example... if you've got Q7 of hearts, and you get a flop of Ah/10c/2c, you've got quite a bit to think about. For example, you're NOT likely to pull off a straight (You'd need the next two cards to be J/K) and you'll need two more hearts to pull the flush. So that's the previous strategy view.

However, look at it from my perspective:

same hand: since you don't have an A or 10 or 2, you can only assume that at a full table, at least one other person does pair one of those hands. now, two of those cards could be trouble if paired (the A can trump a pair of either of your hold cards, and the 10 can trump a pairing of your seven.) Also, with two clubs out there, it's entirely possible that someone's going to make a clubs flush draw (at a full table). So, in this instance, though you're still open for a gutshot straight, a flush draw, and still have even the possibility of two pair or even three of a kind, these odds kind of pale considering how many hands likely beat you right off the bat.

Sure you could pull off an amazing River win, but that's luck, not strategy.

So, be smart when playing, and incorporation of both knowing what you can win with, knowing how other people can beat you with the community cards, can make you a smarter, and more intelligent player.

PostPosted: Thu Oct 06, 2005 11:28 am
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KermieD
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Yes, this is a good thread. I'm not in any way an expert at the game (or even good at it), so I'm checking threads like this religiously. I've taken a bit away from both of the suggestions offered in this thread for use this evening at the tables.

I'm thinking the answer to good play takes both of these factors into effect. What sort of chance do I have to improve my hand vs. the odds that another hand exists out there that can beat my current and/or potential hand?
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PostPosted: Thu Oct 06, 2005 12:35 pm
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Cortana
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Joined: 25 Sep 2002
Posts: 200
Location: Arlington, VA

KermieD wrote:
No offense intended, but your math is off, as it assumes that the cards you need are not sitting in other players' hands, which is an assumption that cannot be made. In actuality, after the flop, your odds are based not on a 32 card remaining deck, but instead on a 47 card remaining deck.


Revised odds for that situation:

Trips/Set: 2:47, or roughly 1:24 (4%)
Flush: 9:47 or roughly 20%
Straight: 8:47 or roughly 17%
Straight Flush: 2:47 or 4%.

However, also, you have to realize that there are 17 of the 47 cards that help you. Getting one of those is better than 33% likely. Bet accordingly :)

And yes, knowing what can beat you also crucial. In a hand like the one stated, you're in good position, but everything changes if that 7d is actually an Ace of Spades.

PostPosted: Thu Oct 06, 2005 1:11 pm
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firefox
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Joined: 28 Jul 2004
Posts: 333

here is a neat table of how to improve your game Smile

How To Play The Flop

and another useful link, the power ratings for your pocket cards
Power Ratings

all thanks to two very useful sites, wizards of odds, and texasholdem at omnihost. now bear in mind, the game is still largely based on chance, and I don't mean percentages and odds, but sheer dumb luck. Something like pocket Queens, Kings or Aces do not always win it for you, dont get blinded by such a killer hand, always check what else is on the table and what could beat you, learning when to bet and how (first link) could ensure an easier win for you with good cards. However folding something good and losing a lot is better than staying it and comitting your entire stack, only to lose to made hand on the river etc. Have fun playing! (In the end its all just luck Rolling Eyes )

just my two cents, and mostly common sense Cool
more linkies:
Playing Styles
Hand Rankings

PostPosted: Thu Oct 13, 2005 12:27 pm
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Marrec
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Joined: 12 Sep 2004
Posts: 303
Location: Las Cruces, NM

I don't have enough time to write a full poker playing disertation, but I do have enough time to give out some tips. There are two poker rules that I live by, and niether involve complicated math or statistics or anything like that. Don't get me wrong, it's good to know the odds, but they shouldn't controll how you play. Anybody with sense knows that their 2s aren't exactly a good hand with a 7 Q A flop. Which brings me to a little tip. If you have a low pair, make a bet. If anybody raises you, fold. That little tip makes those low pair hands a lot easier to play. That reminds me of my first rule to play poker by.

Think of folding as saving you money, not losing money you've already put in. A lot of people are afraid to fold in a pot they've invested serious money in or with a hand they think is unbeatable. If you fold and would've won, shucks. If you don't fold and lose, well, that's a lot harder to deal with. This rule sounds like common sense sure, but it flees the mind when someone has Cowboys.

My second rule to play poker by: Don't worry about playing hands you might lose, only worry about playing hands you know you'll win. It's more complicated than it sounds. Say you have a pretty decent hand... Jacks and Fives paired. It's a decent hand, but very beatable. Don't wrack your mind on how to play it. If they bet too much, fold, if everyone checks, bet the minimum, stuff like that. Don't worry about winning or losing such hands either, because they don't matter. What matters is when you have that flush or straight or trips or full house. These are hands that win consistently. This is when you start thinking about how much money you can get off the poor suckers around you. Personally, I think trips is an easy hand to win a lot of money with. (You can also lose a lot of money with it...) Basic rules apply, don't chase people off with your flush, don't bet too much on your straight, yada yada.

That's my two cents, very disorganized and hard to understand, but it gets the point across. Oh, one other thing, if someone raises you when you have a full house, bet your bottom dollar. You'll win.
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Marrec³ | Standing on the street corner waiting for no one is power. | Looking for ward to Serenity.
"Postie Pummeled by Perplexed Puzzler" -Atrophied


PostPosted: Sat Oct 15, 2005 4:11 pm
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