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 Forum index » Archive » Archive: The Haunted Apiary (Let Op!) » The Haunted Apiary (Let Op!): General/Updates
[NEW UPDATE] Dana's blog 8/20
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GunsmithCat
Unfettered


Joined: 05 Aug 2004
Posts: 459

Re: I give up.

sfsdfd wrote:
GunsmithCat wrote:
I'm just saying it doesn't harm things by letting different people take different angles at different assumptions.

Absolutely. But it's also essential to look at those ideas critically, from several angles: Would this fit the story? (yours does, pretty well.) Can we act on this speculation? (not easily, and it's riddled with problems.) How can we expect this to play out in the event? (with great difficulty, given the logistics.)

I know that you know this. The reason I bring it up is because that's what I was doing: suggesting reasons why the PMs probably haven't included radios in their Axon Day machinations. The more I discussed the flaws in the theory, the more hostile you became - and, admittedly, that made me more motivated to demonstrate those and other flaws.


That's a misrepresentation.

Quote:

Would this fit the story? (yours does, pretty well.)


Yes it did. Course, you made it clear you thought that was irrelevant.

Quote:

Can we act on this speculation? (not easily, and it's riddled with problems.)


Actually, one problem. Missing Frequency. Which I speculated could have either still been hidden or revealed today. Just like the times were revealed later. Your argument against this was based solely on your assumptions about the PMs.

Quote:

How can we expect this to play out in the event? (with great difficulty, given the logistics.)


Quite easily. FM radios are everywhere. You thought it was difficult because of the missing frequencies, I fact I had brought up in the very first post.


Quote:

I have to believe that the PMs expect us to use (at least some of) the precision given in the coordinates, by tracking down a specific, small area with a consumer-level GPS device.


Wait, now you contradict yourself. I thought anyone looking for something would easily have found the ringing phone. But now I need a GPS locator too? But an FM radio, that's just crazy?

Now I've seen you latch onto the pay phone theory. Course, the radio theory is largely similar to "mine" (which, as I also noted in the first post, it's not my spec - just one I thought merited debate), as I also mentioned in the thread. What was your original theory? That something will happen sometime around the coordinates given and the PMs will make it just easy enough for us to solve while we are there (provided we remembered our GPS locators). Guess that's close too.

So in this thread you chastise everyone for overthinking this problem, but that won't stop you from remembering to bring a tape recorder to the sites, will it?

If the pay phone theory pans out - probably won't need the locator, btw.

I'll say this and be done with it. Not only do I don't agree people overthought this, I'm not sure we've thought about it enough.

PostPosted: Fri Aug 20, 2004 7:56 pm
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There are a couple of things that I think might be missed in this discussion.

1. A lot of cities have done away with pay phones all together in an attempt to curb drug dealers using beepers. Almost all cities in Ct. have gotten rid of pay phones and there were spots in New Haven and New London.

2. You don't need a GPS unit to find out where those coordinates are. A topographical map has lat and long on it and you can find almost the entire body of topo maps online. It shouldn't be too hard to find where the point is talking about in a city.

my $0.02

PostPosted: Fri Aug 20, 2004 8:28 pm
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Atoner
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Joined: 28 Jul 2004
Posts: 136

Jacqueline wrote:
Quote:
Kind of creepy how many of them turned out to be near my hometown (and your hometowns, too, from what I hear!)...


This tells me that the PMs did make an effort to make the locations halfway accessible to the players, or at least the more 'active' players who were e-mailing Dana or the Princess;


I dunno, you might also take this to mean that it truly was a coincidence, that the PM's had picked some coords earlier that were coincidentally near where some players lived. Like I said, most of what Dana said in that blog entry really could be interpreted to support either side of this argument. I wonder if that was intentional.

Anyhow, carry on with the tennis match, don't let me interrupt you.

-Atoner-

PostPosted: Fri Aug 20, 2004 9:02 pm
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MNPundit
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Joined: 17 Aug 2004
Posts: 101
Location: Iowa

Re: I give up.

Extrasonic wrote:
It's the not knowing why we're going which makes the "just show up" idea so unsatisfying.
Actually that makes it really satisfying to me. I admit, this is my first true ARG, but I think going to the coordinates physically without knowing why helps us be ready for anything and aware of everything. It's also the perfect venue to take the story in an entirely NEW direction.

PostPosted: Fri Aug 20, 2004 9:54 pm
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moja_vera
Greenhorn

Joined: 10 Aug 2004
Posts: 3

flyers in best buy

the November date is not set in stone. I was in Best Buy today and they had flyers for halo 2 right next to the Madden games. They are running some promotional deal for the Halo 2 and in great big huge letters underneath the November release date it clearly states "Dates Subject to Change"...Just because Microsoft says something doesn't mean it's true...didn't these guys put out WIN95 on August 24th months ahead of schedule? Just because some dude at E3 had a temporary tattoo with the November date does not mean it is not changable.

PostPosted: Fri Aug 20, 2004 10:02 pm
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Atoner
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Joined: 28 Jul 2004
Posts: 136

Re: flyers in best buy

moja_vera wrote:
the November date is not set in stone. I was in Best Buy today and they had flyers for halo 2 right next to the Madden games. They are running some promotional deal for the Halo 2 and in great big huge letters underneath the November release date it clearly states "Dates Subject to Change"...Just because Microsoft says something doesn't mean it's true...didn't these guys put out WIN95 on August 24th months ahead of schedule? Just because some dude at E3 had a temporary tattoo with the November date does not mean it is not changable.


Wishful thinking. When they say "Dates subject to change", 99.99% of the time, it's changing to a LATER date.

-Atoner-

PostPosted: Fri Aug 20, 2004 10:06 pm
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moja_vera
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Joined: 10 Aug 2004
Posts: 3

well it's looking more and more like there is some kind of free for all going on...so some of us are going to wrong...and in my opinion its looking more and more like it's not going to be the wishful thinkers...at least i hope so...i know the friggin anticipation is killing me...i haven't felt this way since i was a kid...

PostPosted: Fri Aug 20, 2004 10:09 pm
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thebruce
Dances With Wikis


Joined: 16 Aug 2004
Posts: 6899
Location: Kitchener, Ontario

You know, in an attempt to retain relationship/acquaintances and teamwork AFTER August 24th, I think everyone involved (at least with a very vocal opinion about other specs) should take an oath that they won't be a PRICK to other people if their speculations turn out to be wrong. We're working as a team - if groups of people have differing speculations, no one should be entirely bashed, and when someone's spec ends up being incorrect, they shouldn't be laughed or pointed out of the game. I think both sides here should agree to humbly accept the fact if their own theory is incorrect, and at the same time respect someone else who's theory may turn out to be incorrect.

I can just see this getting way out of hand with people pointing out, after the fact, continuously, why their theory was right and someone else's was wrong. If I felt strongly about my spec, I would be much more willing to accept defeat if I knew the other side would respectfully let the point go and continue with the game...

just an FYI for the 24th...
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PostPosted: Fri Aug 20, 2004 10:24 pm
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GunsmithCat
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Joined: 05 Aug 2004
Posts: 459

thebruce wrote:
You know, in an attempt to retain relationship/acquaintances and teamwork AFTER August 24th, I think everyone involved (at least with a very vocal opinion about other specs) should take an oath that they won't be a PRICK to other people if their speculations turn out to be wrong.



In that spirit, mucho apologies if I'm coming off as a prick.

PostPosted: Fri Aug 20, 2004 11:20 pm
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GunsmithCat
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Joined: 05 Aug 2004
Posts: 459

Re: flyers in best buy

Atoner wrote:
moja_vera wrote:
the November date is not set in stone. I was in Best Buy today and they had flyers for halo 2 right next to the Madden games. They are running some promotional deal for the Halo 2 and in great big huge letters underneath the November release date it clearly states "Dates Subject to Change"...Just because Microsoft says something doesn't mean it's true...didn't these guys put out WIN95 on August 24th months ahead of schedule? Just because some dude at E3 had a temporary tattoo with the November date does not mean it is not changable.


Wishful thinking. When they say "Dates subject to change", 99.99% of the time, it's changing to a LATER date.

-Atoner-


Plus, this is a horrible hype campaign if the game was coming out next week. Huge missed opportunity for a PR group. You don't make release dates a mystery.

Generating interest prior to the release, now that makes sense.

PostPosted: Fri Aug 20, 2004 11:31 pm
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sfsdfd
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Joined: 25 Jul 2004
Posts: 112

Re: I give up.

Wow, you just don't give up, do you? OK, we here go again:
GunsmithCat wrote:
Quote:
Would this fit the story? (yours does, pretty well.)

Yes it did. Course, you made it clear you thought that was irrelevant.

Man, I'm giving this one to you, and still you're contentious. Rolling Eyes

But I never once argued "irrelevant." I argued that, like many other puzzles we've tackled, the backstory need not have any connection with the puzzle or its solution. Neither the URLs that Melissa retched nor the associated websites had any sort of in-game connection.
GunsmithCat wrote:
Quote:
Can we act on this speculation? (not easily, and it's riddled with problems.)

Actually, one problem. Missing Frequency.

You've conveniently forgetten the others that you can't contest:

* If a commercial - the inability to guarantee a commercial broadcast on a per-minute window
* If not a commercial - the difficulty of obtaining an FCC license
* The fact that not only do we have no specific frequency, but the frequency would likely be unique per city, to work with or around commercial broadcasts
* Either way - the odd notion that a commercial radio broadcast would be receivable within a 50-mile radius, thus making GPS coordinates (of increasing precision, no less) virtually irrelevant, except for placing us in a particular city
GunsmithCat wrote:
Quote:

How can we expect this to play out in the event? (with great difficulty, given the logistics.)
Quite easily. FM radios are everywhere. You thought it was difficult because of the missing frequencies, I fact I had brought up in the very first post.

Yes, quite easily - except for the tiny fact that catching even a snip of a 30-second broadcast by scanning an entire AM/FM radio band is extraordinarily unlikely.
GunsmithCat wrote:
Wait, now you contradict yourself. I thought anyone looking for something would easily have found the ringing phone. But now I need a GPS locator too? But an FM radio, that's just crazy?

Where in the world are your logic skills? Do GPS coordinates not suggest the use of a GPS device - more likely than an FM receiver? Good grief, I'm tired of your weird logic failures.

And if you've read anything I've posted about the pay phone thing, I suggested getting to a specific point and paying attention to (among other things) a pay phone in that small area. Yes, you need a GPS device. That's why they posted freaking GPS coordinates.
GunsmithCat wrote:
Now I've seen you latch onto the pay phone theory.

I've only thought so since ten minutes after they posted the updated coordinates last Tuesday. (http://forums.unfiction.com/forums/viewtopic.php?t=5697&postdays=0&postorder=asc&start=45) It was my first guess after seeing times posted, because - and I still think this is highly illustrative - the times are conveniently spaced at small intervals across the entire day. One guy, with one phone line, could easily hit them in sequence.

I started considering it less likely when many reported the absence of phones in their locations, but now people seem to be changing their minds on that part. So it's again likely.

So is a physical interaction. A radio broadcast, at this point, is only slightly more ridiculously improbable than it was when first suggested.
GunsmithCat wrote:
What was your original theory? That something will happen sometime around the coordinates given and the PMs will make it just easy enough for us to solve while we are there (provided we remembered our GPS locators). Guess that's close too.

That continues to be my predominant guess.
GunsmithCat wrote:
So in this thread you chastise everyone for overthinking this problem, but that won't stop you from remembering to bring a tape recorder to the sites, will it?

Because it fits one of the two likely scenarios, yes. I will not, however, be bringing an AM/FM radio (or a HAM radio, a cell phone, a WiFi card, or a portable TV.)
GunsmithCat wrote:
If the pay phone theory pans out - probably won't need the locator, btw.

:shrug: You said it yourself - it can be hard to hear a phone ringing on a busy street unless you're close. That's why you would need the GPS device - to put you in the specific location to experience whatever will happen.

- David Stein

PostPosted: Sat Aug 21, 2004 12:18 am
Last edited by sfsdfd on Sat Aug 21, 2004 12:49 am; edited 1 time in total
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thebruce
Dances With Wikis


Joined: 16 Aug 2004
Posts: 6899
Location: Kitchener, Ontario

how bow this... stein - let gunsmith have his speculation, let him do his thing, and if he's wrong, he's wrong. Gunsmith, let stein do nothing until tuesday, that's his thing. If he's wrong, he's wrong. Maybe you're both right, maybe you're both wrong. That's the beauty of speculation. We all know you both feel strongly about your speculation, so instead of trying to disprove or falsify each others' stance on the issue, either give claims to support your own spec only, or agree to continue (or not) working on your own theories. Arguing over this is senseless! It's only becoming a competition of who's got the louder voice or the more witty comebacks. Disproving spec based on spec gets noone anywhere. Right now there's no proof either way. So don't worry about each other's theories until one or the other is proven or disproven.

It's got way OT now according to the thread topic, and really it's a spectator sport now with the contestants being gunsmith and sfsdfd... call it draw and walk away

IMO
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PostPosted: Sat Aug 21, 2004 12:34 am
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sfsdfd
Veteran

Joined: 25 Jul 2004
Posts: 112

thebruce wrote:
how bow this...

Aw, what fun is that? Remember the fuss people threw when the Major League Baseball all-star game was called as a tie?

Just kidding. I've hoped for a few rounds that this discussion was ending, anyway. I would've walked away had it crossed the line into "overly personal" territory - and it came close a couple of times - but it kept veering back into the realm of substantive conversation. I think the horse is thoroughly beaten now.

- David Stein

PostPosted: Sat Aug 21, 2004 12:54 am
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cmcdannold
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Joined: 16 Aug 2004
Posts: 8
Location: Huntersville, NC

First time poster here, but I have to say all of the contributors here have done some impressive work thus far. OK, enough of the pandering. Wink

Maybe this is troutable or [spec] - you can decide. This also may belong in another thread, but given we have kind of started to get away from what this message is/is not telling us, here is my wooden nickel's worth. If you know where it really should go, I will repost it there gladly, but I think it has value here as well.

I have been thinking about the coordinates for a while, and a comment from Extrasonic:
http://forums.unfiction.com/forums/viewtopic.php?p=57342#57342
regarding the content of Dana's blog today made it make more sense to me. What about billboards? This theory has been floated before in only two posts I could find:
http://forums.unfiction.com/forums/viewtopic.php?p=56873#56873
http://forums.unfiction.com/forums/viewtopic.php?p=53190#53190

Given these coordinates are seemingly random places - some of which are in remote areas like cornfields next to roadways - makes sense to me having lived in a rural area where billboards *are* in cornfields. What if there are no billboards in these areas? Well, have you ever seen those banners hung on buildings they are constructing? Often these will advertise what the structure is going to be, but sometimes they are not. I remember a very cheesy Excite banner in NYC a few years back - you NYC folks may remember a big, red banner on a buliding in Manhattan that had a guy with a cheesy cowboy hat on giving a quasi-smarmy look to the masses.

Anyway, why not have a regionalized billboard/signage program that gives different clues to the next parts of the puzzle? Perhaps each one will be a snippet of an overall monologue or haikus that must be assembled chronologically - not necessarily in the order of the time given in the longitatude/latitude coordinates.

What if these are billboards/signage scheduled to be updated that day? This would give us the element of "things are not as they seem". For instance, let's say that there are ten billboards scheduled to be posted in a given metro area on Tuesday. Nine of these are innocuous, pronouncing a product or service or a company known to all. However, one is for something which appears to be legitimate, but is actually a clue to the next puzzle. This also lends credence to the comment from Dana saying, "You guys are the ones on the frontlines. So it's your call. Do you want to be there when the axons go hot?" It is not necessary to be at each location as this is when the game will really be beginning, and thus, more of these mysteryous billboards/signs will be cropping up all over. Add to this that the coordinates changed, and it can be postulated that the locations of new locations changed beyond the control of the PMs and/or they received bad data in the first instance.

What is the importance of the time? I can only guess here - as if I have not been doing that thus far Wink - that these are the times when they will be "unveiled". Further, why are all the times Pacific rather than local to the coordinate? To me, this keeps the focus on the west coast, and more specifically, the SF Bay Area since that is where all this mystery spawned from according to the "physical" location of Dana/ilovebees.com.

Do I have to be at one of the sites or can I watch the net for new developments on Tuesday? Why not both? The game has to have been designed so *everyone* can play. What if you are confined to your home convelascing from an injury? It seem grossly unfair that you cannot participate in the game because of your condition. It further seems illogical that you have to have the assistance of other people to solve the puzzles or finish the game? Of course, it helps considerably that there are so many of us thinking about this together!

It has also is common knowledge that there is a timer on the ILB site. One theory, again postulated by Extrasonic: http://forums.unfiction.com/forums/viewtopic.php?p=57619#57619
that we have to solve the puzzle *before* the zero-hour. What if it is a countdown to when the game begins, and all the clues we have in our possession thus far will become relavent on the 24th? This is not to say we have been wasting time thus far, but rather our theories will be proven/disproven.

What of the competing theories of what the scope of the game encpomasses? (Too many to link) Well, let me give you some game industry background having worked in it for a couple of years on the retail side. Everything is about making money. In fact, the gaming industry generates more revenue than movies and music. Microsoft wants people to buy Xboxes and Halo games. If you own an Xbox, you will be buying Halo 2 (if you are not, why do you have an Xbox? Wink ). However, what of all the non-Xbox owners out there? What better way to build interest in a real game than to make a game out of Halo 2? Putting on my game company hat, I would fix it so that all the answers will be resolved by buying Halo 2. Otherwise, what is the point of all of this? I will concede that many ARGs are desinged as just that - ARGs. However, some are designed as elaborate marketing ploys to build brand/product awareness *and* drive dollars into the coiffers of the company behind it. So, what is my point? All of this is going to play into Halo 2's storyline in some way. I have never read the books, and I do not think you have to know anything about anything Halo to play this game. However, all of this allegory about Queens, Spider, Widow, Flea, etc. plays into the story of the battle for Earth in Halo 2.

Bring on the fishes. I am more of a salmon guy, but Rainbow Trout is OK too!
Cheers,
Dano

edit: I have also posted this in
http://forums.unfiction.com/forums/viewtopic.php?t=5737

PostPosted: Sat Aug 21, 2004 12:57 am
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Cherry Cotton
Decorated


Joined: 04 Aug 2004
Posts: 237

I agree, thebruce. Life's too short to fight over ARG puzzles.

It's okay and very necessary for us to debate and analyze and reanalyze and communicate to each other on likely solutions. That's the meat of these games, and what makes them so much fun. But there's a fine line between honest intellectual debate and personal attacks, which are completely out of line for adult discourse.

We need to recognize that we're all on the same team here. No matter who's theory is right or wrong, we all helped to refine and formulate an answer and equally part of the effort. Never lose sight of the goal; this is a game, and we're trying to have fun.

(edit: cmcdannold, I was typing my post when you posted yours, so I don't want to seem like I was blowing you off, as yours was a very good post. It probably belongs in a different thread, but still, excellent work, my friend.)

PostPosted: Sat Aug 21, 2004 12:59 am
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